ai model releases calendar beta

A calendar of every notable AI model release — language models, image, video, speech and music generators — from 31 studios, with release dates, context windows, prices and benchmark results. It currently holds 293 models released over the last twelve months and updates on its own as new models ship.

What sets it apart: for each major lab it estimates when the next model is likely to arrive, combining the lab's release history with current rumors, and it collects benchmark results from several independent leaderboards, not one, plus the scores studios report in their model cards.

how we date releases

A release date is the lab's first official announcement of the model: its blog, official X account or API changelog, even if access starts as a limited preview. A later post about the same model on a new platform or a new snapshot does not move the date. When a lab has announced nothing, the date is when the model appeared in its API catalog, or on Hugging Face or OpenRouter, and it is marked approximate. Models available only by application or approval are marked as limited access, and models a lab has shut down are removed.

benchmarks

Scores come from Epoch AI (the Epoch Capabilities Index, GPQA Diamond, SWE-bench Verified, FrontierMath, SimpleQA Verified) and from open leaderboards that test new models within days of release: Supabase Evals, Next.js Evals and DeepSWE. Text models also carry the Artificial Analysis Intelligence, Coding and Agentic indexes, marked "AA". Each model shows its place in every test, with the leader's result marked on the bar. Tests are listed from the model's best place to its weakest. A test that most new models already score 95% or more on is not shown: a place there no longer tells models apart.

Image and video models are ranked by LMArena, where people vote between two anonymous outputs of the same prompt: text-to-image, image editing, text-to-video and image-to-video arenas (CC BY 4.0), and image models also by the Design Arena image arena. The calendar shows each model's arena rating and its place among all models in that arena.

Sources and licences: Epoch AI (CC BY 4.0); LMArena (CC BY 4.0); Supabase Evals (Apache-2.0); Next.js Evals (MIT); DeepSWE. Source: Artificial Analysis (artificialanalysis.ai) via OpenRouter (openrouter.ai/rankings), CC BY 4.0. Source: Design Arena (www.designarena.ai) via OpenRouter (openrouter.ai/rankings), CC BY 4.0.

Many open models are not tested by these leaderboards yet. For them the calendar also shows the results the studio published in the model card on Hugging Face, signed "reported by" the studio and listed after the independent scores. Such a result is the studio's own claim; when an independent score for the same test exists, the calendar shows that one instead.

frequently asked questions

What is the latest AI model release?

The most recent releases in the calendar came out on October 1, 2026: FLUX 3 Image by Black Forest Labs, Grok Imagine Video 1.5 Lite by xAI, MAI-Voice-2.1 by Microsoft, MAI-Voice-2.1-Flash by Microsoft, Seedream 5.0 Flash by ByteDance Seed.

When is the next OpenAI model expected?

Our estimate for the next OpenAI release is October 6–10, 2026, based on the studio's release rhythm and current rumors. The chance of a release within 30 days is about 99%. It is an estimate, not an announcement, and it updates every day.

When is the next Anthropic model expected?

Our estimate for the next Anthropic release is October 7–19, 2026, based on the studio's release rhythm and current rumors. The chance of a release within 30 days is about 88%. It is an estimate, not an announcement, and it updates every day.

When is the next Google model expected?

Our estimate for the next Google release is October 6–14, 2026, based on the studio's release rhythm and current rumors. The chance of a release within 30 days is about 99%. It is an estimate, not an announcement, and it updates every day.

Which AI model leads the benchmarks?

On GPQA Diamond the leader among the models in the calendar is GPT-6 Astra with 95.8%. On SWE-bench Verified the leader among the models in the calendar is Claude Opus 4.7 with 83.5%. On FrontierMath T1–3 the leader among the models in the calendar is GPT-6 Astra with 93.7%. Every model window in the calendar shows its place in each test.

What are the newest AI image models?

The latest image models in the calendar: FLUX 3 Image by Black Forest Labs (Oct 1), Seedream 5.0 Flash by ByteDance Seed (Oct 1), GPT Image 2.5 Flare by OpenAI (Sep 8).

What are the newest AI video models?

The latest video models in the calendar: Grok Imagine Video 1.5 Lite by xAI (Oct 1), Kling 4.0 Flash by Kling (Sep 28), Runway GWM Worlds 2 by Runway (Sep 3).

What are the newest AI music models?

The latest music models in the calendar: Suno v6 by Suno (Sep 9), Suno v6-mini by Suno (Sep 9), Suno v6-wild by Suno (Sep 9).

How is the next release estimated?

From two things: how often the studio has shipped models before (the typical gap between its releases) and dated rumors and teasers about its next model. Official teasers weigh more than rumors, and fresh signals more than old ones. The result is a date range with a chance of a release within 30 days.

Where do the benchmark scores come from?

Independent scores come from Epoch AI, the Artificial Analysis indexes and open leaderboards (Supabase Evals, Next.js Evals, DeepSWE); image and video models are ranked by the LMArena arenas and Design Arena. For models they have not tested, the calendar shows the results the studio itself published in the model card, marked "reported by" the studio. An independent score always replaces a reported one for the same test.

Where do the release dates come from?

A model is dated by its lab's first official announcement — a blog post, an official X post or an API changelog entry — even when access starts as a limited preview. When a lab has announced nothing, the date is when the model appeared in its API catalog, or on Hugging Face or OpenRouter, and it is approximate. Models open only by application are marked as limited access.

Is the AI releases calendar free?

Yes. The calendar is free, has no sign-up and updates on its own every few minutes.